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Balkan Strategic Studies |
July 31, 1992
The Unspoken Concern Over Germany’s Path
European community (EC) politicians from many of the Community's
12 states — including Germany — are reluctant to discuss their very real
concerns over the strategic direction which Germany is taking both itself and
the EC as a whole. The reluctance to question some of Germany's recent actions
is based on the embarrassment of most EC politicians to say anything which would
revive memories of nazi Germany's aggressions which led to and included World
War II. There is an almost universal consensus that discussing any issues which
would automatically invoke parallels between today's Germany and Hitler's
Germany of the 1930s and '40s would split the EC and once again make Germany an
outsider. One German official told Defense & Foreign Affairs:
"We must sublimate our 'Germanness' and become totally blended as a nation
with Europe." The problem with this is that by becoming "Super
Europeans," the Germans give the appearance of trying to become all of
Europe, with the rights and interests of the smaller economies of the EC being
totally subservient (and immaterial) to the German position. But the specific
strategic policy questions which concern other Europeans and policy analysts in
the United States and elsewhere include:
1. Unilateral and clandestine support for Croatia:
Yugoslavia began its disintegration with the appointment of a Croatian head of
the collective presidency a couple of years ago. The candidate, who was
committed to the break-up of Yugoslavia, was heavily promoted by the EC. Many
Yugoslavs agreed that each member republic should determine its own future, and
-- despite the uncertainties inherent in any major transition -- the Yugoslav
member states were on the way to determining a working arrangement which would
have left some kind of customs union, or confederation. This brief opportunity
to achieve change more-or-less peacefully was lost when Bonn precipitately
recognized the independence and sovereignty of Croatia,
encouraging it to remove irrevocably any chance of a working confederation of
Yugoslav states. German recognition of Croatia
was its most decisive and unilateral foreign policy initiative since 1945.
Germany has gone and continues to go further. It has either allowed or has
provided, at a Government level, large numbers of German nationals to go to Croatia
as mercenaries or advisers for the Croatian forces which are not only in Croatia,
but which are controlling large areas of Bosnia-Herzegovina. Germany continues
to provide significant quantities of former East German weapons systems, spares
and ordnance to Croatia
clandestinely, and in contravention of Germany law, via Hungary and other
routes.
German support for Croatia
is a natural extension of the country's historical links with Croatia
and its support for the wartime Ustaše fascist organization of the
country's historical links with Croatia
and its support for the wartime Ustaše fascist organization which has
once again revived in Croatia
and has used its symbols and remembrances of its own wartime exploits to
threaten ethnic Serbs living in Croatia
and hundreds of thousands of civilians in World War II -- was predictably
defensive.
There is now concern that Germany has dragged Europe, and possibly the US, into
an intractable conflict in the Balkans, without considering the real objectives
or reasons for such an action.
2. Germany's native efforts to undermine the US dollar: German Government
officials have either provided, or have allowed to be provided, the
tightly-controlled banknote printing paper to Iran to enable its mint to produce
vast quantities of counterfeit, high-quality US banknotes. The Iranian
distribution of vast quantities of forged US currency -- outlined and confirmed
in the US Congress in recent months -- is aimed at helping Iran pay off some of
its international debt while at the same time deliberately undermining
confidence in the US dollar. The fact that Germany has supported this economic
warfare against a NATO partner has shattered some US officials' faith in Germany
after more than 40 years of alliance.
3. German involvement in nuclear and CBW proliferation: The German
Government has done virtually nothing to stop German firms supplying the
technology to states such as Iraq, Libya, Iran and others for weapons-related
nuclear, chemical and possibly biological capability. Most senior intelligence
analysts contacted by Defense & Foreign Affairs believe that the
German Government has knowledge of the situation and could have controlled the
transactions if it desired.